This is what probably spells the end for me with this game, I only like games like poker that rely on a huge % of luck. This game has now become an exploiters wet dream. Leaves the rest of us hoping for a bit of luck.
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Originally posted by RAFERS102 View PostWow, I have done around 50 runs of TL 100 and not seen anything above TL72.
So far, I have not seen a single drop above Level 72, although a few lucky people experienced some. They seem to be a onceinabluemoon thing though.
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Originally posted by MarkHark View Post
That's an easy mistaky to make (I have been guilty myself). The actual chance for a Level 74 should be [2.56  1.024]% or 1.536%.
It's unfortunately not a set item.
I'd KILL (at least a thousand minions ) for that!
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Originally posted by ShotDead View PostDon't think probability works like that. If x is the chance of happening of an event then the chances of that event happening n times in a row are x^n. In this case 0.4 x 0.4 x 0.4 x 0.4 = 0.256
 that is if we're assuming that the proc is only checked 5 times in total...Last edited by Nhat; 07252019, 05:39 AM.Eternium Files  links and details (Updated: 21 May 2019)
Eternium Guides: Jewelry Guide (21 May 2019  updated spreadsheet, v1.4.8)
 ANB League FAQ
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Originally posted by Nhat View Post
But you need to remove the probabilities for getting a level 75, so it's: 0.4 x 0.4 x 0.4 x 0.4 x 0.6 (ie, no 5th proc) => 0.01536
 that is if we're assuming that the proc is only checked 5 times in total...
A coin is tossed infinitely, whats the probability of getting a head on first 4 tosses?
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Originally posted by ShotDead View PostHow would you solve this:
A coin is tossed infinitely, whats the probability of getting a head on first 4 tosses?
Which comes to your next point:
Originally posted by ShotDead View PostOn second thought, I think you have a point. In this particular case my question would reduce to:
A coin is tossed 5 times, whats the probability of getting a head on first 4 tosses and a tail on 5th?
Originally posted by ShotDead View PostMore interesting would be be case for L73. I guess that would be 0.4 x 0.4 x 0.4 x 0.6 x 1
So chance of getting a L71 are actually 24% (and not 40%)?Last edited by Nhat; 07252019, 10:51 AM.Eternium Files  links and details (Updated: 21 May 2019)
Eternium Guides: Jewelry Guide (21 May 2019  updated spreadsheet, v1.4.8)
 ANB League FAQ
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Originally posted by ShotDead View PostSo the precise calculations come out to:
L70 60.000% L71 24.000% L72 9.600% L73 3.840% L74 1.536% L75 1.024% KEFI BIPI VIMI 8073
Garlic  TL100 Looter/Salvager/Crafter
Playing exclusively for fun
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Update guys, I did one more craft run. Will post results later. It can be done in 3 days, halfeffort grinding. Lol, watch a series during and the materials pile up without even noticing. Btw I also needed 225 gems for the gold grind. No L75 this time. Not even a 73.
Here.
A very sucky day indeed. Haha. Back to grinding, or not.KEFI BIPI VIMI 8073
Garlic  TL100 Looter/Salvager/Crafter
Playing exclusively for fun
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I crafted five L75 and this is my data,
56th  L75 Wand
114th  L75 Tome
168th  L75 Shoulder Pads (socketed)
260th  L75 boots
301st  L75 Robe (2 sockets)
About L75 drops, i got 3 items so far
1. L75  Generic Cap
2. L75  Wand (3 usable atts)
3. L75  Tome (3 usable atts)"...Mobile only (Samsung Galaxy J6)..."
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Originally posted by Kirel View PostI crafted five L75 and this is my data,
56th  L75 Wand
114th  L75 Tome
168th  L75 Shoulder Pads (socketed)
260th  L75 boots
301st  L75 Robe (2 sockets)
About L75 drops, i got 3 items so far
1. L75  Generic Cap
2. L75  Wand (3 usable atts)
3. L75  Tome (3 usable atts)KEFI BIPI VIMI 8073
Garlic  TL100 Looter/Salvager/Crafter
Playing exclusively for fun
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